Fox & Hounds Daily published commentary Sherry Bebitch Jeffe of the USC Price School and Doug Jeffe on how the retirement of GOP representatives may help and hurt the Democrats’ chances of flipping those seats in the midterm elections.
Certainly, the trend line for California Republicans has been straight downhill. Democrats now hold a 19-point registration advantage over the party and the GOP is about to be overtaken by No Party Preference registrants. Because the NPP voters tend to be younger and include more minorities, this state’s independents lean toward Democratic candidates–or, more precisely, away from Republicans. It is not a coincidence that no Republican has won a statewide election in California for more than a decade.